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Oct 1, 2012
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when we think about the election, we imagine a fixed pool of voters. this many people support obama, this many people support romney. but actually it's a very dynamic pool of voters. the big question for both the romney and obama campaigns is what does that electorate look like when they come out to vote. in the end, it doesn't matter how many support mitt romney and support barack obama. the only thing that ends up mattering is how many people come out successfully manage to cast a vote support mitt romney and support barack obama. jest an enormous amount of energy is turning out people who have decided they prefer one or the other but might not make their way to the polls. >> 36 days until the election. i did want to show these numbers from your piece. 43% of are watching very closely. that's for the decided. for the undecided and the people who may or may not go to the polls, who aren't those people who every election make their way to the polling place, do we have a good take on what get them there? is it an issue? is it a phone call? what motivate
when we think about the election, we imagine a fixed pool of voters. this many people support obama, this many people support romney. but actually it's a very dynamic pool of voters. the big question for both the romney and obama campaigns is what does that electorate look like when they come out to vote. in the end, it doesn't matter how many support mitt romney and support barack obama. the only thing that ends up mattering is how many people come out successfully manage to cast a vote...
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Oct 7, 2012
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nothing, i'll tell you after the election. you're attacking romney for doing exactly what your candidate is doing. >> economy, gas prices, one thing striking in the debate over jobs, is some in conservative corners were arguing about the actual numbers. jack welch had a tweet about unbelievable jobs numbers, the chicago guys will do anything, can't debate because they change the numbers. he was on "hardball" with chris matthews and this is how he explained what's behind this analysis. >> i've reviewed 14 businesses this week from restaurants to rental cars, to widgets. i have seen everybody with a, a third quarter equal to or weaker than the first quarter. in order to get 873,000 new jobs, you would have to have a gdp going at 4% to 5%. the second quarter was downgraded from 1.7 to 1.3. the third quarter is not going to be very strong. it just defies the imagination to have a surge larger than -- any surge since 1983, a month before the election. i leave it to you to do all the analysis. >> you know -- >> one of the most impor
nothing, i'll tell you after the election. you're attacking romney for doing exactly what your candidate is doing. >> economy, gas prices, one thing striking in the debate over jobs, is some in conservative corners were arguing about the actual numbers. jack welch had a tweet about unbelievable jobs numbers, the chicago guys will do anything, can't debate because they change the numbers. he was on "hardball" with chris matthews and this is how he explained what's behind this...
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Oct 2, 2012
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every day to the election. if you see him give one good performance and the next day they're off message, it's more of what we've seen the bumbling along throughout the campaign. and i think for president obama the challenge is, as my former boss howard dean said, don't get irritable. it's going to be hard when governor romney is going to try to get him with his little zingers, to not get annoyed at the lack of searsneriousness an lack of actual facts. so i think most of us at this point are expecting, romney can have a mediocre performance and i think he will get good spin the next day. >> steve, the romney campaign is up against another difficulty in the poll which is the public's actual expectation at this point. the "washington post" poll shows that among likely voters, 55% of them expect president obama to win the debate. 31% expect mitt romney to win the debate. and presumably that expectation will color the way those viewers watch that debate. >> yeah. it could. i mean, maybe this is the one risk maybe t
every day to the election. if you see him give one good performance and the next day they're off message, it's more of what we've seen the bumbling along throughout the campaign. and i think for president obama the challenge is, as my former boss howard dean said, don't get irritable. it's going to be hard when governor romney is going to try to get him with his little zingers, to not get annoyed at the lack of searsneriousness an lack of actual facts. so i think most of us at this point are...
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Oct 6, 2012
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that is the most either side has raised in a month this election cycle. no word yet on the romney camp's monthly total, but the campaign does say it's collected more than $12 million in online donations since wednesday's debate. that's a lot. and it says it has seen bigger crowds on the trail since that debate. more on these stories throughout the next hour. >>> and tonight a newly confident mitt romney guess back on the stump in the sunshine state. he is holding a rally at 6:30 p.m. in apopka, florida, where he has been hammering the president's job record, despite a rise in national employment. with the romney campaign, garrett, is the governor sticking to his guns on the economy, or do the new numbers change things? >> milissa, the only new change is governor romney is going to have to retire one of his favorite lines, is the unemployment rate remaining above%. we expect that line to disappear. but focus will stay the same, with perhaps a bit more of a target, talking about the deficit and spending. you see the slogan we can't afford four more years li
that is the most either side has raised in a month this election cycle. no word yet on the romney camp's monthly total, but the campaign does say it's collected more than $12 million in online donations since wednesday's debate. that's a lot. and it says it has seen bigger crowds on the trail since that debate. more on these stories throughout the next hour. >>> and tonight a newly confident mitt romney guess back on the stump in the sunshine state. he is holding a rally at 6:30 p.m....
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Sep 30, 2012
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than in any of the previously election. that always brings a lot of students out. but they're working very, very hard here, the obama campaign has got a very, very strong game in wisconsin. >> any change in the environment since the recall election versus what's going to happen in five weeks plus? >> i think it has changed tremendously, there was a huge financial advantage for the republicans and the recall. although mitt romney has now begun spending here in wisconsin for many, many weeks, it was really quiet here. and it was only after they chose paul ryan as his vice presidential candidate that he started spending money here. so we're seeing advertising for both camps, so you're also seeing a president making a concerted effort. the president's been here twice in the last three weeks. i'm very confident that he's going to win. >> bill clinton, he's a big factor in the race, he campaigned for you in the recall electi election. >> well, i think he's a great asset and you can send bill clinton anywhere in this country and p
than in any of the previously election. that always brings a lot of students out. but they're working very, very hard here, the obama campaign has got a very, very strong game in wisconsin. >> any change in the environment since the recall election versus what's going to happen in five weeks plus? >> i think it has changed tremendously, there was a huge financial advantage for the republicans and the recall. although mitt romney has now begun spending here in wisconsin for many,...
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Oct 2, 2012
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since that year, democratic senators from massachusetts have won re-election ten times. >>> enough of the real news. let's huddle up around the water cooler to talk oscars. this year's host is the man behind the voices of peter griffin and stewie on "family guy." the academy announcing yesterday seth mcfarlane is host for the oscars in february. mcfarlane hosted "snl" season opener, presented an award at the emmy last month. he released a statement that reads in part, "i will do my utmost to live up to the high standards set forth by my predecessors, and i hope they don't find out i hosted the charlie sheen roast." hugh jackman hosted in 2009, alec baldwin and steve martin in 2010. they tried to go young in 2011 with james franco and anne hathaway. and earlier this year, back to classics, billy crystal hosting for the ninth time. speaking of oscar hosts, two-time host, jon stewart, sat down last night on "the daily show" with former california governor arnold schwarzenegger. arnold making the rounds promoting "total recall," contains less than flattering details about his personal lif
since that year, democratic senators from massachusetts have won re-election ten times. >>> enough of the real news. let's huddle up around the water cooler to talk oscars. this year's host is the man behind the voices of peter griffin and stewie on "family guy." the academy announcing yesterday seth mcfarlane is host for the oscars in february. mcfarlane hosted "snl" season opener, presented an award at the emmy last month. he released a statement that reads in...
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Oct 7, 2012
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i am sure they know the election calendar, the producer is a smart guy, he knows the elections, but by that time, 35% at least of the american public will have already cast a ballot. the remaining 65 or so who have not cast a ballot, if we can squeeze out 1 to 2% undecided, i will be shocked. everybody else will be locked in. and how many of those percentages will be watching the national geographic? i like them, but it is a small audience. >> compared to 67% who watched the debates. >> considering the debates, give me the smart pick, joe biden or paul ryan? who is the smart pick? >> you know, joe biden was a much better debater in 2008 than people remember. so i think if he can avoid gaffes, which is a pretty big "if" with the vp, he should be able to deliver, and paul ryan can be a little too much of a policy wonk. >> let me ask you this, do the vice presidential debates really matter? >> hardly ever, in fact, i can't think of one except the bob dole, remarking about the wars, world war i and ii, but by and large, i don't think they are much more than entertainment, although they're
i am sure they know the election calendar, the producer is a smart guy, he knows the elections, but by that time, 35% at least of the american public will have already cast a ballot. the remaining 65 or so who have not cast a ballot, if we can squeeze out 1 to 2% undecided, i will be shocked. everybody else will be locked in. and how many of those percentages will be watching the national geographic? i like them, but it is a small audience. >> compared to 67% who watched the debates....
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Oct 7, 2012
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the election was down to the wire. here's how tom brokaw reported the story the next day. >>> good evening from california. governor arnold schwarzenegger. even though the polls predicted it, a lot of people expected it, and even author wanted it, it still is a stunning development in american politics and for what it could mean across the country. governor gray davis lost the recall vote by 10 percentage points and schwarzenegger got half the votes cast for governor in a field with more than 100 other candidates. >> the people of california want me to be their governor. and i will do that. and nothing else. i will work as the governor, i will work as much as i can. even if it is around the clock. there will be more time for morevies or anything else, i will take this job very seriously. i will bring back the economy, i will bring back the jobs. i will clean up the environment. i will help with education and improve education. all of those issues we want to make sure that we concentrate on and work very hard to accompl
the election was down to the wire. here's how tom brokaw reported the story the next day. >>> good evening from california. governor arnold schwarzenegger. even though the polls predicted it, a lot of people expected it, and even author wanted it, it still is a stunning development in american politics and for what it could mean across the country. governor gray davis lost the recall vote by 10 percentage points and schwarzenegger got half the votes cast for governor in a field with...
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Oct 3, 2012
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we had an election in 2010 with senator michael bennett and his republican opponent, i think, that election came down to 15,000 vote es. you never know. you can't predict what's going to happen on election day. >> rick polasio, great to have you with us. thanks so much. i want to thank everyone at the governor's park tavern who were there for the msnbc presidential debate eve watch party. we're heading over there right now. we're looking forward to it. that's "the ed show." the "the rachel maddow show" starts right now. good evening, rachel.
we had an election in 2010 with senator michael bennett and his republican opponent, i think, that election came down to 15,000 vote es. you never know. you can't predict what's going to happen on election day. >> rick polasio, great to have you with us. thanks so much. i want to thank everyone at the governor's park tavern who were there for the msnbc presidential debate eve watch party. we're heading over there right now. we're looking forward to it. that's "the ed show." the...
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Oct 3, 2012
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a few months later, there was another special election. voters inside the polling place in newbedford showed up to these guys in suits and ties. the sign says show i.d. to vote. and then underneath it it has some rules listed. rules. have valid government-issued i.d. then it says some more stuff. the last rule is voluntary compliance. this isn't actually a rule at all. it's just a couple guys trying to make you think it's a rule while you're trying to vote. after that election the massachusetts secretary of state ruled that it was illegal for those guys to be inside that polling place with their big sign that says show i.d. to vote. but by that time, the election was over so maybe the damage was done. we don't know how many people roll past that billboard and decided they wouldn't turn out to vote because they didn't have a driver's license. we don't know how many people strolled in thinking they were going to vote, saw the sign about issuing an i.d. to vote, knew they didn't have that and turned around and walked out. we don't know. it wa
a few months later, there was another special election. voters inside the polling place in newbedford showed up to these guys in suits and ties. the sign says show i.d. to vote. and then underneath it it has some rules listed. rules. have valid government-issued i.d. then it says some more stuff. the last rule is voluntary compliance. this isn't actually a rule at all. it's just a couple guys trying to make you think it's a rule while you're trying to vote. after that election the massachusetts...
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Oct 1, 2012
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i hope that after the election if president obama's re-elected, which i hope he will be, we'll get some new supreme court members who will be able to right that wrong. >> let me ask you a question. the state of florida may send the following to people to congress, back to the u.s. congress. alan grayson and alan west. i know you have -- you're supporting the opponent of mr. west. first of all, are you supporting mr. grayson and what does that say about the state of florida, to be charitable, the bombastic men in these cycles -- >> you're a floridian, you know this. we are truly a purple state. there's more diversity in our politics brother than any state in the nation. and as a result of that, you're going to get some of these candidates that, you know, will be very vocal in what they have to say. i believe patrick murphy is dwoek to defeat alan west in southeast florida. he's worked very hard, an articulate bright young man. he's a cpand i think he has a great chance to win and i think grayson will be re-elected and get back into congress. >> should he be? do you think his style is wha
i hope that after the election if president obama's re-elected, which i hope he will be, we'll get some new supreme court members who will be able to right that wrong. >> let me ask you a question. the state of florida may send the following to people to congress, back to the u.s. congress. alan grayson and alan west. i know you have -- you're supporting the opponent of mr. west. first of all, are you supporting mr. grayson and what does that say about the state of florida, to be...
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Oct 3, 2012
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election and how it is run. and in some ways how the election is being run and how the campaign prepares for it looks a little desperate for the republican party right now. we learned that as of yesterday, the republican party has ended all of the new voter registration efforts for colorado, virginia, north carolina, nevada and colorado. they had hired a single company to register voters in all those key states and now they have fired that company after it appeared to be turning in fraudulent forms for registering voters. the same company had been planning get out the vote. so if you're a republican partisan who wants mitt romney to win, you have to be concerned about this political reality that voter registration has been stopped by your party in those swing states. but if you're worried about voter fraud about the possibility of voter fraud, you don't have to worry about this group's history that was hired by the rnc about whether they have done something that is going to prevent votes from being counted. not
election and how it is run. and in some ways how the election is being run and how the campaign prepares for it looks a little desperate for the republican party right now. we learned that as of yesterday, the republican party has ended all of the new voter registration efforts for colorado, virginia, north carolina, nevada and colorado. they had hired a single company to register voters in all those key states and now they have fired that company after it appeared to be turning in fraudulent...
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on the one hand, this election is about the economy. and regardless of how tempting foreign policy is right now, come election day, voters care most about the economy. that's true i think every year. we know this from 2004. which was supposed to be an election on foreign policy and still exit polls showed most voters cared about the economy. so i think the advisors who want him to stay on message about the economy are right. however, the other side to this, and i guess i'm arguing two points here, the other side to this is, there are areas to exploit. obama's foreign policy has been whitewashed by his defenders and i think there are people on the right in the middle and honest people on the left who would be outraged to hear a little bit more about obama's failed promises. the problem mitt romney is going to have, he has to come at foreign policy from the left and right. that's tricky. from the right, he needs to talk about obama's policy of open hands versus clenched fists, have seen deterioration with relationships with russia, iran,
on the one hand, this election is about the economy. and regardless of how tempting foreign policy is right now, come election day, voters care most about the economy. that's true i think every year. we know this from 2004. which was supposed to be an election on foreign policy and still exit polls showed most voters cared about the economy. so i think the advisors who want him to stay on message about the economy are right. however, the other side to this, and i guess i'm arguing two points...
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Oct 6, 2012
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they want hip, if he gets elected, to do what they say. and on top of that, he didn't mention his name, but paul ryan would be his vice president. paul ryan is the one, i mean mitt romney says he has a 59-point plan, but paul ryan actually has a budget and it's a budget that goes far and away and is very specific in ways that romney has not been. if he's really this pragmatic guy, then he's going to be forced to do things that naturally he wouldn't want to do. >>> i have read that much. it's way more than 59 points. maggie, in wednesday's debate, one thing i think has been a little bit conflated here, did you see mitt romney actually shifting positions or emphasizing different elements of his positions? because when i watched and what i saw was a different approach to governance on display and a very different set of policies he was underscoring but not actually going off any of the policies he had espoused up to that night. >> i think you're right. what's been different was tone more than substance, style more than substance. i also think
they want hip, if he gets elected, to do what they say. and on top of that, he didn't mention his name, but paul ryan would be his vice president. paul ryan is the one, i mean mitt romney says he has a 59-point plan, but paul ryan actually has a budget and it's a budget that goes far and away and is very specific in ways that romney has not been. if he's really this pragmatic guy, then he's going to be forced to do things that naturally he wouldn't want to do. >>> i have read that...
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Oct 2, 2012
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from going into effect before the november election. after it was revealed that hundreds of thousands of voters face the real pocket that they would not be allowed to vote. but now this unjust law will not be in effect on election day in this critical swing state. it's a stunning rebuke to republicans and their shameless attempt to rig the system. just remember one of those state top gop lawmakers slipped up and said what these laws are all about. >> voter i.d., which is going to allow governor romney to win the state of pennsylvania, done. >> sorry. it's not done. not anymore. not on our watch. not when we have our say. folks, the fight is far from over. under this ruling, the law's merely been delayed. not dismantled. across the country, republicans are fighting to keep their laws on the books. and they're dreaming up new ways to cheat the system. we've told you about the voter fraud scandal surrounding gop operative nathan sprool. now the investigation is taking the federal level with judge cunningham demanding answers about phoney a
from going into effect before the november election. after it was revealed that hundreds of thousands of voters face the real pocket that they would not be allowed to vote. but now this unjust law will not be in effect on election day in this critical swing state. it's a stunning rebuke to republicans and their shameless attempt to rig the system. just remember one of those state top gop lawmakers slipped up and said what these laws are all about. >> voter i.d., which is going to allow...
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Oct 3, 2012
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and he lost that election. tonight, ann romney seems sure that the country will soon realize how lucky we are that mitt romney is running for president. >> i know he's very well prepared. he's focused, he's very bright. i think the country will be blessed by having someone with his skill set, his experience and his -- just his goodness. to be able to run this country. this guy does care that he's out there. and he's a person with compassion. >> first lady michelle obama did not attempt to lower expectationings for her husband today. >> he doesn't need much advice. he's a very good debater. so i do tell him to have fun and relax and just be himself because the truth is if he's the barack obama the country has come to know and trust, he's going to do a great job. >> the new nation nbc news poll shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and
and he lost that election. tonight, ann romney seems sure that the country will soon realize how lucky we are that mitt romney is running for president. >> i know he's very well prepared. he's focused, he's very bright. i think the country will be blessed by having someone with his skill set, his experience and his -- just his goodness. to be able to run this country. this guy does care that he's out there. and he's a person with compassion. >> first lady michelle obama did not...
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Oct 4, 2012
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it's an election about the course of america. i will keep america strong and get america's middle class working again. >> romney had a bounce in his step post debate. it looked like a genuine moment on stage. romney lingered after the president left and parted with a triumphant wave. got a rousing response from relieved partisans. if romney's goal for the first debate was to get a second look from voters, he succeeded. he was energetic and funny. came across as knowledgeable. especially to those tuning in for the first time. a clear winner in a handful. responders pick him as the winner by 40 points. uncommitted voters polled by cbs news called romney the winner by a 2-1 margin. and 56% said the opinion of romney changed for the better after last fight. 13% said that about the president. ron allen sat down with a group of undecided voters and watched the debate in colorado just a few miles for the university of denver. here's what he found. >> how many of you were impressed by governor romney? how many of you saw something in gov
it's an election about the course of america. i will keep america strong and get america's middle class working again. >> romney had a bounce in his step post debate. it looked like a genuine moment on stage. romney lingered after the president left and parted with a triumphant wave. got a rousing response from relieved partisans. if romney's goal for the first debate was to get a second look from voters, he succeeded. he was energetic and funny. came across as knowledgeable. especially...
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Oct 2, 2012
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law cannot go in effect for the general election. there is a chance the state could appeal this to the state's supreme court, but based on what the supreme court said last time they looked at this, it's doubtful they would succeed there. what the judge says here is yes, it's true. the state has said we can fix some of the problems that have come up before, but he says, i question whether there is enough time now to fix these problems. i think there are going to be more problems down the road putting this into effect like we've already seen, he says. he believes that the gap between the photo i.d.'s issued and the estimated need cannot be closed before the election. in other words, he says all the people who would have to get new photo i.d.s, he doubts there is enough time for them to get them. he says i'm not convinced in my predictive judgment there won't be any voter disenfranchisement arising out of this new law. pennsylvania in march passed this new law requiring voter i.d.s. people started going to get them and the state said, w
law cannot go in effect for the general election. there is a chance the state could appeal this to the state's supreme court, but based on what the supreme court said last time they looked at this, it's doubtful they would succeed there. what the judge says here is yes, it's true. the state has said we can fix some of the problems that have come up before, but he says, i question whether there is enough time now to fix these problems. i think there are going to be more problems down the road...
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you can come down to the board of elections. monday through friday in ohio up until november the 6th. which is the date of the election. >> just to point out right now, the new columbus dispatch poll showing obama at 45%, mitt romney 42%. thanks for coming and taking time to talk with us. we appreciate it. >> thanks and congratulations and best wishes to you. >> thank you. i appreciate that. >>> still ahead this hour, the supreme court's new term. could this be the year marriage equality goes front and center in front of the highest court? >>> and ten years later, what the sole surviving d.c. sniper is saying about the attacks that trzed the nation's capital. s tie for swanson flavor boost. concentrated broth in easy to use packets. mix it into skillet dishes, for an instant dose of... hell-o! [ female announcer ] get recipes at flavorboost.com. >>> now underway at the nation's highest court. the panel of supremes back on the bench this morning for the first time since it's ruling on the universal health care law. their first or
you can come down to the board of elections. monday through friday in ohio up until november the 6th. which is the date of the election. >> just to point out right now, the new columbus dispatch poll showing obama at 45%, mitt romney 42%. thanks for coming and taking time to talk with us. we appreciate it. >> thanks and congratulations and best wishes to you. >> thank you. i appreciate that. >>> still ahead this hour, the supreme court's new term. could this be the...
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Oct 5, 2012
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elect me, i can turn the economy around. but today the rationale for his entire campaign is crumbling. the new job numbers are out and unemployment has dropped to 7.8%. under 8% for the first time since president obama first came into office. that's progress on jobs and that's good for america. but it's absolutely demolishes a favorite romney talking point. >> three years later, unemployment is still above 8%. >> we've gone 41 months with unemployment above 8%. >> we've had 42 straight months with unemployment above 8%. >> still 8% with over 43 straight months. >> today, that talking point disintegrated and president obama has a strong record to campaign on. >> this morning we found out that the unemployment rate has fallen to the lowest level since i took office. but today's news certainly is not an excuse to try to talk down the economy to score a few political points. it's a reminder that this country has come too far to turn back now. >> now, governor romney issued a statement today saying, quote, this is not what a real
elect me, i can turn the economy around. but today the rationale for his entire campaign is crumbling. the new job numbers are out and unemployment has dropped to 7.8%. under 8% for the first time since president obama first came into office. that's progress on jobs and that's good for america. but it's absolutely demolishes a favorite romney talking point. >> three years later, unemployment is still above 8%. >> we've gone 41 months with unemployment above 8%. >> we've had 42...
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he's running for re-election up in ohio. but he's got karl rove money machine, whole money machine coming at him, and he's taking him on pretty well. he's doing well. we're going to learn something about winning in a good old state like ohio. >>> republicans have been searching without success over the country for voter fraud, and now they finally found it in their own campaign. the biggest case of alleged registration fraud in the country, and the republicans are caught paying for it and holding the bag. we can't wait to get to that one. >>> we're going to visit that parallel republican universe where mitt romney leads, by the way, in every poll in that universe. the republicans really believe in a liberal conspiracy involving all the pollsters of this country left and right, even the fox pollsters? maybe they just don't accept the legitimacy of a democratic president, any democratic president. >>> let me finish with my belief that presidential debates are often unfair and almost always unpredictable. this is "hardball," th
he's running for re-election up in ohio. but he's got karl rove money machine, whole money machine coming at him, and he's taking him on pretty well. he's doing well. we're going to learn something about winning in a good old state like ohio. >>> republicans have been searching without success over the country for voter fraud, and now they finally found it in their own campaign. the biggest case of alleged registration fraud in the country, and the republicans are caught paying for it...
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he's a competitive guy, we know he wants to win this election, he's smart. i have to believe he is going to focus and prepare in a way he did not the first time around. >> and frankly a low bar for the president next time because he just has to be aggressive, right? that's what he wasn't in this debate. i think he can easily meet or exceed expectations just by, you know, i don't know, five-hour energy or something before he goes out there. >> thank you very much. it's great to see you, eugene, susan, mark halperin, thank you, my friend. and if you noticed a little more pink than usual in last night's game between the cardinals and rams because october is breast cancer awareness month and game and rams it's because it's breast cancer warns month. they're doing their part with a campaign to promote prevention calmed a crucial catch. thanks to tanya schneider and other women in the nfl family. all along this month you see players, coaches, owners and referees wearing pink. this is to remind women 40 and old how important it is. get your screenings every year. c
he's a competitive guy, we know he wants to win this election, he's smart. i have to believe he is going to focus and prepare in a way he did not the first time around. >> and frankly a low bar for the president next time because he just has to be aggressive, right? that's what he wasn't in this debate. i think he can easily meet or exceed expectations just by, you know, i don't know, five-hour energy or something before he goes out there. >> thank you very much. it's great to see...
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welcome to "the ed show" live from minneapolis. 32 days until the 2012 election. the unemployment rate hits its lowest level in four years and republicans hate it. tonight we rip off their tin foil hats. this is "the ed show." let's get to work. >> you don't think it's coincidental that we've got the biggest surge since 1983 and in the job surge? come on, chris. >> the conspiracy theorists are howling tonight. we'll get the truth on today's huge jobs report. with former president of ubs investment bank robert wolffe and democratic strategist bob shrumpf. a republican talking point died a bloody death today. >> the obama administration promised that unemployment would not exceed 8%. >> would not exceed 8%. >> unemployment under 8%. >> below 8%. >> tonight a requiem for the 8% promise. the mitt romney coal miner story got even uglier today. we'll talk to the author of a new report that claims the owner of the ohio mine mitt romney visited forced workers to donate to the romney campaign. and the legendary actor lavar burton is mad at mitt romney for going after big b
welcome to "the ed show" live from minneapolis. 32 days until the 2012 election. the unemployment rate hits its lowest level in four years and republicans hate it. tonight we rip off their tin foil hats. this is "the ed show." let's get to work. >> you don't think it's coincidental that we've got the biggest surge since 1983 and in the job surge? come on, chris. >> the conspiracy theorists are howling tonight. we'll get the truth on today's huge jobs report. with...
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elect your champion. paul romney, who will be the nominee? >> welcome to obamaville. >> fight! ♪ >> clean coal! clean coal! >> excellent. >> flawless victory. that's just one of slate's awesome new political videos. also romney versus obama. videos of joe biden v. paul ryan. the battle royal still to come. spoofs are a fun way the digital age has changed the campaigns and also a serious impact. think about it. twitter was still relatively fledgling four years ago. tonight for the first time, instant reaction from the crowd could shape the national post-debate conversation. just as much as the opinions of journalists and pundits do. so, let's do what journalists and pundits do and talk about it. i think, you know, twitter and -- and i mentioned this yesterday in "the rant," i mean, twitter is a really fun way to watch a debate. live tweeting through it, see what other people have to say. but it's also really changed the sperngs. you know, as we tease there, you get instant reaction to real-time events. it's completely democraticized the experience of getting news and watching
elect your champion. paul romney, who will be the nominee? >> welcome to obamaville. >> fight! ♪ >> clean coal! clean coal! >> excellent. >> flawless victory. that's just one of slate's awesome new political videos. also romney versus obama. videos of joe biden v. paul ryan. the battle royal still to come. spoofs are a fun way the digital age has changed the campaigns and also a serious impact. think about it. twitter was still relatively fledgling four years...
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ronald reagan was re-elected with a 7.2 unemployment rate. he set up the dynamic and the pr was honest. optimism is what he sold. he was able to say 7.2 is great news, great news. he got re-elected with $49 state. he lost minnesota and the district of columbia with 7.2. what should obama get with 7.8? it seems like it's within the range there and everybody's poo-poo'ing it. oh, geez, i know why jack welch is scared that number is too damn close to reagan's number. that's probably what he's worried about. >> how this works with the president's narrative, we're moving in the right direction, don't change horses, don't go back to a playbook that didn't work, the george bush supply side stuff that i think he can legitimately tie to mitt romney. he had a narrative that says the economy is monthing in the right direction. i think this job report actually strengthens that narrative. much more than levels variables, like the level of the unemployment rate, it's momentum that i think forms voters' views on the economy. >> thank you jared bernstein for
ronald reagan was re-elected with a 7.2 unemployment rate. he set up the dynamic and the pr was honest. optimism is what he sold. he was able to say 7.2 is great news, great news. he got re-elected with $49 state. he lost minnesota and the district of columbia with 7.2. what should obama get with 7.8? it seems like it's within the range there and everybody's poo-poo'ing it. oh, geez, i know why jack welch is scared that number is too damn close to reagan's number. that's probably what he's...
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before i got elected, i said my daughters are available on national tv. that was a pretty good mistake. and i'm still paying for that one. but the difference between when i make a mistake, i correct it. i immediately corrected it. >> who is your model supreme court justice? >> let me see here. that's a great question. i think justice sko lee ya is a good judge. justice kennedy is obviously very good. and justice roberts, they are very qualified people there. >> they don't exactly -- >> that's the beauty of being independent. >> if you had to pick one. >> i don't need to pick one. we have plenty of justices up there and i'm proud of the the ones we have. >> i don't support the dream act. we can't take a class of citizens here illegally and move ahead of the 4 million people trying to do it legally. >> senator brown is right. this is a big difference between the two of us. he voted against the dream act. i would strongly support the dream act. i believe in it. >> you're going to comment on my record, i would at least have you refer to -- excuse me. i'm not
before i got elected, i said my daughters are available on national tv. that was a pretty good mistake. and i'm still paying for that one. but the difference between when i make a mistake, i correct it. i immediately corrected it. >> who is your model supreme court justice? >> let me see here. that's a great question. i think justice sko lee ya is a good judge. justice kennedy is obviously very good. and justice roberts, they are very qualified people there. >> they don't...
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we're not talking about election day. we're talking about that first debate and in terms of that first debate -- it was completely the opposite of the way it was on election day. watch. >> good evening, i'm tom brokaw with nbc "nightly news." a lot of people in most of the instant polls believe walter mondale won an important battle against president reagan last night. >> in this corner at a feisty 170 pounds, the new heavyweight debater of the world -- >> at a tumultuous rally mondale claimed the debate breathed new life into his campaign. >> today we have a brand new race. today everything is different. >> reporter: while not claiming a flood of overnight conversions, mondale's aides argue millions of voters finally are listening to mondale and rethinking their support for reagan. >> the seemingly unstoppable reagan bandwagon hit a bad rut last night and the president seemed to know it. asked who won the debate as he left kentucky, all he said was, i'm smiling. at a north carolina rally, mr. reagan brought up the debate
we're not talking about election day. we're talking about that first debate and in terms of that first debate -- it was completely the opposite of the way it was on election day. watch. >> good evening, i'm tom brokaw with nbc "nightly news." a lot of people in most of the instant polls believe walter mondale won an important battle against president reagan last night. >> in this corner at a feisty 170 pounds, the new heavyweight debater of the world -- >> at a...
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is this going to affect the outcome in florida, which, you know, election to election, you never know. you never know in florida, do you? >> florida, florida, florida. >> right. >> that's right. and a inger are inis right. i think it does show kind of the amount of attention that both campaigns are putting on a key state in trying to work the margins in a race that could be razor-thin. and florida is vital for certainly for romney. there is other pathways for obama to win without florida. but if he wins florida, it makes it extremely difficult for romney to win overall. so i think that's where we're seeing the biggest battle on all types of fronts, including these voter registration laws. >> all right. matt vizer of the boston globe, and erin mcpike of real clear politics, thank you so much. >> thank you. >>> now for a little trail dust where. you play -- that you may have missed from the campaign trail. yesterday president obama made a rain-soaked appearance in cleveland, ohio. he poked fun at governor romney's suggestion in wednesday's debate that he would defund pbs, the home of "s
is this going to affect the outcome in florida, which, you know, election to election, you never know. you never know in florida, do you? >> florida, florida, florida. >> right. >> that's right. and a inger are inis right. i think it does show kind of the amount of attention that both campaigns are putting on a key state in trying to work the margins in a race that could be razor-thin. and florida is vital for certainly for romney. there is other pathways for obama to win...
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put ow elected officials, put out deval patrick. put out jennifer granholm and have them deliver the message. >> we are going to talk a lot about style and substance, and the president and what he did and did not do last night. but in terms of the response to mitt romney, i think part of the problem was nobody was expecting mitt romney to say things like, there's no $5 trillion debt to walk away from the tax cut, something he's been hammering for quite a while, em brabracin obama care, sand shifting under everyone's feet. >> no doubt it was unexpected but it was a fat pitch over the plate. >> absolutely. >> unexpected but great. now strike it. really, though? i mean like you can go hip-hop, you can go dr. evil? whatever you've got to do, you've got say something, you've got to respond. look, the president is extraordinary, as governor rendell said. he probably missed some of the lessons that his own past has taught him about speaking to people, being vibrant. mitt romney was a bully. the act of bullying last night was uncontested. h
put ow elected officials, put out deval patrick. put out jennifer granholm and have them deliver the message. >> we are going to talk a lot about style and substance, and the president and what he did and did not do last night. but in terms of the response to mitt romney, i think part of the problem was nobody was expecting mitt romney to say things like, there's no $5 trillion debt to walk away from the tax cut, something he's been hammering for quite a while, em brabracin obama care,...
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thruling only covers thi election. the decision is bad news for repuicanin pennsylvani r thearlie year one of the party leaders boasted the law would help mitt romney win the election. >> voter i.d., whi is gog to allow mitt romney to win the state of pennsylvania, done. >> pennsylvania is just one of 41 stateto pass rerictive new voting laws since president obama won in 2008. so far 17 states have successfully pasd restrictive votesing laws since president oba won the white hous republicans in ohio tried e gop tried to purge the voter roles in florida. the republicans have cimed all along they are try stop voter fraud. but look what happens. it turns outhey are the ones who were cheating. a t out the vote scandal is rocking the republican p. sttegic allied consulting s er . now theyre firinthe firm. florida has turned up 100 suspicious voterorms and in colorado one worker was caught on tape claiming s worked r you work for romney >> i thought you we rej sterg voters. >> i am. who areou registering? all voters? >> i'm
thruling only covers thi election. the decision is bad news for repuicanin pennsylvani r thearlie year one of the party leaders boasted the law would help mitt romney win the election. >> voter i.d., whi is gog to allow mitt romney to win the state of pennsylvania, done. >> pennsylvania is just one of 41 stateto pass rerictive new voting laws since president obama won in 2008. so far 17 states have successfully pasd restrictive votesing laws since president oba won the white hous...
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if you want a better president elect a better congress. that is the real lesson of the last two years. >> certainly the questions will be many. the answers perhaps few. we'll see. coming up, the numbers game. electorally speaking not all roads lead to 270 but there are different routes to get there. some are super highways and others are more scenic. as chuck todd mapped out last week. >> florida still matters big. if the president wins it it's check mate. no path without florida. go for these scenarios, if he's going to crede ohio, and that's what's gone on the move of ohio where romney cannot seem to connect with white working-class voters, he's doing the bus trip, but the move of ohio that suddenly means he has to win florida and virginia. >> we will compare governor romney's narrow path with president obama's increasingly widening lane next on "now." [ female announcer ] ready for a taste of what's hot? check out the latest collection of snacks from lean cuisine. creamy spinach artichoke dip, crispy garlic chicken spring rolls. they're
if you want a better president elect a better congress. that is the real lesson of the last two years. >> certainly the questions will be many. the answers perhaps few. we'll see. coming up, the numbers game. electorally speaking not all roads lead to 270 but there are different routes to get there. some are super highways and others are more scenic. as chuck todd mapped out last week. >> florida still matters big. if the president wins it it's check mate. no path without florida....
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. >> reporter: an election only 35 days away but still far from over. and the first debate is on the domestic issues that are defining this election. lynn? >> all right, brian, thanks. >>> elsewhere, the candidates for the u.s. senate in massachusetts, scott brown and elizabeth warren, debated for the second time last night. the two were combative as they staked out opposite positions on issues ranging from job creation to bringing home troops from afghanistan. nbc's david gregory of "meet the press" was the moderator, and they also clashed over brown's claim of partisan independence. >> if he is re-elected, that increases the odds that the republicans will control the senate and that he can block president obama's agenda. >> if you're going to comment on my record, i would at least have you refer to it -- >> can we -- >> excuse me, excuse me. >> go ahead, senator. >> excuse me, i'm not a student in your classroom. please let me respond. thank you. >> recent polls before the debate showed elizabeth warren with a small lead over scott brown. >>> and last
. >> reporter: an election only 35 days away but still far from over. and the first debate is on the domestic issues that are defining this election. lynn? >> all right, brian, thanks. >>> elsewhere, the candidates for the u.s. senate in massachusetts, scott brown and elizabeth warren, debated for the second time last night. the two were combative as they staked out opposite positions on issues ranging from job creation to bringing home troops from afghanistan. nbc's david...
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. >> there's no question your campaign has been trying to make this a election a referendum on barack obama. now some people are saying you are making it a referendum on paul ryan's budget plan. >> well, i have my budget plan, as you know, that i have put out, and that's the budget plan that we're going to run on. >> and again this sunday romney had to distance himself from ryan's positions and assert that he's the man at the top of the ticket. let's listen. >> the president's cutting $716 billion from current medicare. i disagree with that. i'd put those dollars back into medicare. >> mr. ryan has proposed something similar, almost precisely the same number, 716. >> he was going to use that money to reduce the budget deficit. i'm putting it back into medicare and i'm the guy running for president. >> well, what a miserable time he has. all he does is defend himself against paul ryan's budget and he put the guy on the ticket. >> chris, i remember when this happened. when he put ryan on the ticket, a lot of democrats said, okay, it's over, we've got it. and i was skeptical about that w
. >> there's no question your campaign has been trying to make this a election a referendum on barack obama. now some people are saying you are making it a referendum on paul ryan's budget plan. >> well, i have my budget plan, as you know, that i have put out, and that's the budget plan that we're going to run on. >> and again this sunday romney had to distance himself from ryan's positions and assert that he's the man at the top of the ticket. let's listen. >> the...
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should be re-elected. let me quote that. he says, the nation, which is generally reluctant to declare a president a failure, thereby admitting that it made a mistake in choosing him, seems especially reluctant to give up on the first african-american president. if so, the 2012 election speaks well of the nation's heart, if not its head. so now he's saying that the nation does not obama want to admit that it made a mistake but certainly don't want to do it to an african-american. that's a new twist in race, ana marie. >> yes, it is. and rush limbaugh has referred to him as the action president. i'd like to think of him as just the president. i would say that they don't like to fire people as much as mitt romney does. so we tend to want to give people another chance. it's mazing how this comes up. i'm willing to give him another four years. i think george will is right about the sentiment of american people and for him to bring race into it, i'm not sure it's -- >> it's crazy. >> i'll go with what peterson s
should be re-elected. let me quote that. he says, the nation, which is generally reluctant to declare a president a failure, thereby admitting that it made a mistake in choosing him, seems especially reluctant to give up on the first african-american president. if so, the 2012 election speaks well of the nation's heart, if not its head. so now he's saying that the nation does not obama want to admit that it made a mistake but certainly don't want to do it to an african-american. that's a new...
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where you talk about trying to predict election outcomes and forecast election outcomes. sometimes you don't need a model. ronald reagan with the economy was never going to lose, and bill clinton won't lose in 1996. you can look at other cases where the campaigns matter. do you have a sense what that exact balance is, is there a wall to quantify it like the economy and actually campaign effects? >> we do try and quantify it where our model looks at two things. there's an economic part of it and a polls part of it. the closer to election day, the more we rely purely on polls, the theory is that if by october/november whatever impact there is to the economy hasn't been reflected in the polls, either the model is wrong or people think about other things. so right now, you know, actually do expect even before the debate the polls to it tighten some, because although the incumbent president gets a lot of credit, obama was ahead by five or six points by these polls for a while. naets hi that's high based on where the economy is. in some ways the debate brings the polls more int
where you talk about trying to predict election outcomes and forecast election outcomes. sometimes you don't need a model. ronald reagan with the economy was never going to lose, and bill clinton won't lose in 1996. you can look at other cases where the campaigns matter. do you have a sense what that exact balance is, is there a wall to quantify it like the economy and actually campaign effects? >> we do try and quantify it where our model looks at two things. there's an economic part of...
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family circle says it's a bellwether in four of five elections. those are the things we thought you should know. [ male announcer ] you like who you are... and you learned something along the way. this is the age of knowing what you're made of. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain; it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. side effects include headache, flushing, upset stomach, and abnormal vision. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for an erection lasting more than four hours. stop taking viagra and call your doctor right away if you experience a sudden decrease or loss in vision or hearing. this is the age of taking action. viagra. talk to your doctor. see if america's most prescribed ed treatment is right for you. check out the latest collection of snacks from lean cuisine. creamy spinach artichoke dip, crispy garlic chicken spring rolls. they're
family circle says it's a bellwether in four of five elections. those are the things we thought you should know. [ male announcer ] you like who you are... and you learned something along the way. this is the age of knowing what you're made of. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain; it may cause an unsafe drop in blood...
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. >> for 18 months he's been running on this tax plan, and now five weeks before the election he's saying that his big bold idea is nevermind. >> let me repeat what i said. i'm not in favor of a $5 trillion tax cut. >> the president's lackluster response sent critics into a tail spin and put team obama on defense. >> i don't know what he was doing out there. he had his head down, he was enduring the debate rather than fighting it. the latest thing we got from romney because he said so, was, you know what i want to do with people when they are poor? shove them in the emergency room. where was obama tonight? >> progressives from chris matthews to bill maher to michael moore all across the progressive wing of the democratic party, there's great disappointment. >> they were jumping out of their seats watching. >> i understand. i understand there was a hunger for us to attack romney more personally than the president did last night. >> bottom line, romney scores, but was last night the first to game-change his campaign and what they sorely needed? >> the only loophole he had enough courage to
. >> for 18 months he's been running on this tax plan, and now five weeks before the election he's saying that his big bold idea is nevermind. >> let me repeat what i said. i'm not in favor of a $5 trillion tax cut. >> the president's lackluster response sent critics into a tail spin and put team obama on defense. >> i don't know what he was doing out there. he had his head down, he was enduring the debate rather than fighting it. the latest thing we got from romney...